Precipitation: understanding the present and the future of snow and rain over the cryosphere
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 |
| 9:45 AM - 10:00 AM |
Overview
Dr Simon Alexander, Australian Antarctic Division
Speaker
Dr Simon Alexander
Scientist
Australian Antarctic Division
Precipitation: understanding the present and the future of snow and rain over the cryosphere
Abstract Document
Despite its central and critical role within the climate system, precipitation is a notoriously difficult quantity to simulate correctly in models, and especially so at high Southern latitudes. This is due to limits and uncertainties in our observations (satellite and ground-based) and gaps in our understanding of unique microphysical processes at these latitudes. These limit the ability of climate simulations to project future changes in precipitation and for weather forecast models to predict precipitation events well.
We will show the role that our recent research has in starting to resolve these issues. We will demonstrate that the separation of airmasses between oceanic and Antarctic-origin is necessary to understand aerosol quantity and type, and that this leads directly to cloud and precipitation formation. Microscopic oceanic biology emits gases that ultimately influence large-scale cloud properties and precipitation close to the Antarctic continent. By improving the simulation of Antarctic cloud properties in high-resolution regional models, we demonstrate that the simulation of more realistic precipitation is possible to achieve. We will discuss results of improvements to cloud and precipitation from the ACCESS family of models. Turbulent processes within clouds can be related directly to the amount of liquid water present in the environment. This provides a pathway for future improvement of precipitation microphysics within climate and NWP simulations.
We will show the role that our recent research has in starting to resolve these issues. We will demonstrate that the separation of airmasses between oceanic and Antarctic-origin is necessary to understand aerosol quantity and type, and that this leads directly to cloud and precipitation formation. Microscopic oceanic biology emits gases that ultimately influence large-scale cloud properties and precipitation close to the Antarctic continent. By improving the simulation of Antarctic cloud properties in high-resolution regional models, we demonstrate that the simulation of more realistic precipitation is possible to achieve. We will discuss results of improvements to cloud and precipitation from the ACCESS family of models. Turbulent processes within clouds can be related directly to the amount of liquid water present in the environment. This provides a pathway for future improvement of precipitation microphysics within climate and NWP simulations.
Biography
Dr Alexander has led or contributed to numerous Southern Ocean and Antarctic atmospheric field campaigns over the last decade, which have made observations of clouds, precipitation and aerosols in order to improve and evaluate climate and forecast models. Currently he is working on understanding how precipitation forms within Southern Ocean clouds.