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‎ Parallel session: Ice sheet, shelf and ocean interactions: processes, monitoring and modelling Part 1

Wednesday, August 26, 2026
12:03 PM - 12:04 PM

Overview

Convenors: Dr David Gwyther, Cat Vreugdenhil, Prof Craig Stevens, Dr Lenneke Jong


Speaker

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Ms Kim Bente
Postdoctoral Research Fellow
University of Tasmania

Mapping ice shelf basal melt from sparse flux observations using physics-informed machine learning

Abstract Document

Ocean-driven basal melting of Antarctic ice shelves is a major contributor to sea level rise, yet it remains difficult to observe directly due to the inaccessibility of sub-shelf cavities. As a result, basal mass balance (BMB) is typically inferred indirectly from sparse remote sensing observations, but existing methods are limited by coarse fixed grids, numerical approximations, and uncertain ice thickness estimates.

We present FluxNet, a physics-informed deep learning framework that reconstructs continuous fields of BMB from sparse ice shelf thickness and satellite velocity observations. FluxNet learns ice flux with a neural network architecture designed to represent flow fields through a Helmholtz decomposition, separating components that do and do not contribute to flux divergence. This enables direct estimation of BMB from the learned flux field using automatic differentiation, avoiding numerical differencing and resolution constraints.

We apply FluxNet to the Ross Ice Shelf, leveraging 3.2 million Bedmap3 thickness observations. In reconstruction experiments, FluxNet outperforms physics-agnostic neural networks and conventional geospatial interpolation methods, reducing RMSE by 11.7% and 31.4% respectively. An ensemble of FluxNet models resolves enhanced basal melting near grounding lines and ice shelf margins, successfully mitigating satellite striping artefacts while quantifying predictive uncertainty. Overall, FluxNet offers a fast, physics-grounded, and data-driven complement to existing approaches for basal melt estimation.

Biography

Kim Bente is a Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Anya Reading's `Compute Antarctic' group in the School of Natural Sciences at the University of Tasmania, Australia. Her research develops probabilistic, physics-informed, and active learning methods for geophysical climate systems, most notably the Antarctic Ice Sheet, through geospatial modelling of the Antarctic cryosphere, integrating Earth observation data and physics with ML frameworks to estimate subglacial topography, ice sheet dynamics, and ice shelf basal melt.
Dr David Gwyther
Research Associate
Australian Antarctic Program Partnership

First evaluation of circum-Antarctic impacts of subglacial hydrological discharge on ice-ocean interactions and shelf waters

Abstract Document

Subglacial hydrological discharge is a potentially important but poorly constrained source of freshwater to the circum-Antarctic ocean system. Idealised and regional studies have demonstrated that subglacial discharge can strongly impact ice shelf-ocean interactions, including substantial enhancement of basal melting. However, its integrated impact on Southern Ocean circulation, shelf water mass transformation, and ice shelf basal melting at the continental scale remains unknown.

We present simulations forcing a whole-Antarctic ice shelf-ocean model configuration (WAOM; Whole Antarctic Ocean Model) with a continental-scale subglacial hydrology model (GLADS; Glacier Drainage System model). This enables, for the first time, an investigation of the circum-Antarctic impacts of subglacial freshwater discharge. Initial results demonstrate the first-order sensitivity of circum-Antarctic melt rates and shelf water mass properties to realistic subglacial hydrological forcing. The grounding line proximity of the maximum perturbation caused by outflow on melt rates is of particular interest, as marine ice sheets are far more sensitive to melt increases close to the grounding line than further downstream along the shelf. These results provide new insight into the role of subglacial freshwater in shaping ice-ocean interactions and motivate improved freshwater parameterisations in large-scale climate and ice-ocean models, with implications for projections of Antarctic contribution to sea level rise.

Biography

Dr David Gwyther is an ocean-ice-climate physicist and postdoctoral research fellow at the Australian Antarctic Program Partnership, specialising in Antarctic ice-ocean interactions and their role in future sea-level rise. He uses numerical modelling and high-performance computing to investigate sub-ice-shelf circulation, basal melting, and Southern Ocean processes that control ice sheet mass loss. His work focuses on improving understanding and prediction of ice–ocean coupling across regional to global scales. Outside of science, he tends to fall deep down rabbit holes as diverse as ultra trail running, 10th century Norse material culture, to field recording of ambient soundscapes.
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Miss Paola Papapetros
PhD Researcher
UTAS - AAPP

Subglacial discharge-ocean-sediment impacts on melting beneath the Amery Ice Shelf

Abstract Document

Ice shelf basal melting is characterised by turbulent processes that couple the broader ocean circulation to the ice-ocean interface. While the impact of subglacial discharge on circulation and basal melting has been increasingly investigated, recent work has demonstrated the influence of sediment-laden subglacial discharge, sediment transport, and evolving seabed morphology on the turbulent ice-ocean exchange. However, the role of sediment-driven morphodynamics in realistic ice-shelf cavities remains poorly constrained. In particular, the relative contributions of cavity-scale sediment redistribution and localised sediment-laden subglacial discharge to circulation, melting, and seabed evolution remain unquantified. Here, we investigate coupled ice shelf-ocean-sediment processes beneath the Amery Ice Shelf using a high-fidelity numerical model that resolves sediment erosion, transport, deposition, and bathymetric evolution. Sensitivity experiments are used to isolate the effects of sediment and freshwater forcing on basal melt across spatial scales. Preliminary results suggest that cavity-scale currents dominate sediment redistribution and long-term morphodynamic changes, while sediment-laden subglacial discharge primarily affects circulation and melt rates near the grounding zone. By comparing sensitivity experiments, we assess the relative importance of sediment dynamics and freshwater forcing in controlling basal melting, cavity circulation, and seabed evolution beneath the Amery Ice Shelf. These results provide new insight into how sediment-driven morphodynamics influence ice-ocean interactions and investigate the importance of representing sediment processes in ice shelf-ocean models.

Biography

Paola Papapetros is a final-year PhD candidate at the Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies (IMAS), University of Tasmania. Her research focuses on ice-ocean-sediment interactions beneath Antarctic ice shelves, with particular emphasis on how subglacial freshwater discharge, sediment dynamics, and ocean circulation influence basal melting and ice shelf stability. Using high-fidelity numerical modelling, she investigates coupled processes in grounding zone environments and their implications for future ice-sheet change and sea-level rise. Her work combines geophysical oceanography, ocean modelling, and polar science to improve understanding of the complex feedbacks between the Antarctic Ice Sheet, the Southern Ocean, and the seafloor environment. Through investigations of grounding zone processes, her research contributes to improving projections of Antarctica’s future contribution to global sea-level rise.
Dr Craig Stewart
Researcher
Earth Sciences Institute New Zealand

Basal melting of the Ross Ice Shelf: spatial and temporal variability in the inflow region

Abstract Document

Basal melting of Antarctica's ice shelves plays a key role in modulating the mass balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. While satellite observations provide a broad view of average melt rates, ground-base phase-sensitive radar (ApRES) observations provide increased accuracy and temporal resolution at a local scale. By quantifying temporal variability to sub-daily time scales these observations can provide insights into the oceanographic drivers of melting.

Here we describe lessons learned and selected results from a network of 12 ApRES instruments deployed on the north-western Ross Ice Shelf in 2022. The observations show strong seasonal and spatial melt rate variability, especially near the ice front where warm water enters the cavity in summer. While melting is the dominant process, the records indicate brief periods of freezing at most sites during winter. Concurrent oceanographic records from near the ice front are used to examine drivers of the most rapid melting observed.

To date the network has been serviced on a 2-yearly interval, and we briefly describe the practical issues associated with maintaining the instruments through multi-year deployments.

Biography

Craig Stewart is an oceanographer at Earth Sciences New Zealand specialising in ice shelf-ocean interactions. Craig has worked on sub-ice shelf oceanographic moorings and with ApRES radar to measure basal melting on the Ross Ice Shelf.
Mr Phyo Wai Thaw
Phd Student
School of Earth and Environment, University of Canterbury, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand

Regime Transitions in the Antarctic Ice Shelf–Ocean Boundary Layer: Implications for Basal Melt Parameterizations

Abstract Document

Accurately predicting basal melt rates remains challenging due to limited understanding of the ice shelf–ocean boundary layer (ISOBL), a meters-thick turbulent layer that exchanges heat and salt between the ocean and the ice. In large-scale ice–ocean models, basal melt rates are estimated using parameterizations that generally assume a well-mixed, shear-controlled regime. However, recent studies have shown that such parameterizations can substantially overestimate observed melt rates in buoyancy-controlled regimes. In these regimes, stratification due to meltwater buoyancy and double-diffusive processes play a dominant role in governing boundary-layer dynamics.
Despite some recent progress, accurate parameterizations for different melting regimes, as well as thresholds for the transitions between shear- and buoyancy-dominated melting, remain poorly constrained. To address this gap, we will present high-resolution three-dimensional large-eddy simulations (LES) of the ISOBL beneath a horizontal ice shelf using Oceananigans. Basal melting will be quantified across a range of ocean velocities and temperatures, and compared with existing observations and parameterizations. Regime transitions will be identified using nondimensional parameters, including viscous Obukhov scale, which characterizes the effects of buoyancy or viscous forces felt by ISOBL turbulence. We will also present a regime diagram indicating expected melting responses around Antarctica and provide improved parameterizations.

Biography

I am a second-year PhD candidate in Environmental Science at the University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand. My research focuses on numerical modeling of ice shelf–ocean boundary layer dynamics.
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